Shown is the 5-minute chart from Gold where the Tip Alert materializes...
'Trading is a process of observing the market's action until such a time you can find and form trading ideas and get involved.'**
Friday, November 29, 2013
Wednesday, November 27, 2013
Trading Market Update
While participating in the market the past two weeks and not having good result, this humble participant observed the whole market especially the indices continues their ascendancy. While the crude and the gold are in the downward trend but moves in a zigzag mode. There are opportunities from all the market concerned except that you just have to 'timed' your participation. We need some kind of regrouping on our part and examine the strategies, find the right one based from current environment. As market participant, one needs to be adaptable in order to have a good result.
Sunday, November 24, 2013
Tip Alert Result: Stopped Out
Overnight long trade did not worked out, got stopped out, anticipating breakout reversal still far fetched...
Tip Alert: Gold Overnight Long
Entry: 12411
Stop: 12374
Target: 12500
Note: Trying to trade for a reversal, let's see if it's going to work in favor...just taking a risk for a possible breakout, with that 'box' per observation...
Stop: 12374
Target: 12500
Note: Trying to trade for a reversal, let's see if it's going to work in favor...just taking a risk for a possible breakout, with that 'box' per observation...
Friday, November 22, 2013
OBSERVE & TRADE: TIP ALERT SERVICE (GOLD FUTURES)
Introducing from this humble Market Observer a different kind of (very unique) Trade Alert Service that will help traders, especially the new ones - and the market instrument is exclusive only for Gold Futures market.
This is a very unique kind of service that will help Gold traders add input/idea to make/place/put a trade. Very simple, not much indicators, no level price (S/R) determination - to avoid confusion, all purely 'pattern' observation, but with adherence to strict discipline. That means, NO 'EDGE' OBSERVATION, NO ACTION (NO EDGE, NO TRADE: TO AVOID OVERTRADING, COMMISSION COSTS, AND OF COURSE, NO LOSS).
WELL, THE ONLY CONDITION IS THIS, IF THE TIP ALERT SERVICE MATERIALIZES, YOU JUST DONATE A DOLLAR ($1.00) FROM THE DONATE BUTTON RIGHT BELOW ON THIS BLOG, YES, JUST A DOLLAR! IF IT DID NOT MATERIALIZE, NO NEED TO DONATE, KEEP YOUR DOLLAR. AND IT'S UP TO YOU TO DONATE OR NOT, EVEN IF IT MATERIALIZES, I DON'T MIND, THAT'S FINE!
BUT IT DOESN'T MEAN YOU HAVE TO FOLLOW EXACTLY THE TIP ALERT AS IT IS, YOU HAVE THE DISCRETION TO DECIDE, BUT THE TIP ALERT I AM GOING TO POST IS MY REAL TRADE, IT'S UP TO TRADERS TO FOLLOW.
THIS IS JUST FOR HONEST TO GOODNESS KIND OF SHARING IDEAS AND KNOWLEDGE SERVICE!
SO LET'S TRADE ON!
Thursday, November 21, 2013
Tip Alert: Gold Overnight Long
Entry: 12432
Stop: 12398
Target: 12525 (will monitor as the session is on-going)
Note: Trying to get long even though the trend is down, but considering the drop already on its fourth consecutive session, I am looking for a reversal, let's see how it goes. In trading nothing is predictable, it's all about probability, and you have to take risk, and this is one example of the risk, but of course with control.
Stop: 12398
Target: 12525 (will monitor as the session is on-going)
Note: Trying to get long even though the trend is down, but considering the drop already on its fourth consecutive session, I am looking for a reversal, let's see how it goes. In trading nothing is predictable, it's all about probability, and you have to take risk, and this is one example of the risk, but of course with control.
Wednesday, November 20, 2013
Tip Alert Result: Stopped Out
This time the Tip Alert experiment for overnight long trade fails, got stopped out. The long awaited breakout for a long move did not worked in our favor and the long consolidation drops hard, it went to the other side. Well that proves that setting stop is really a must to avoid a big loss. We'll take a break for a while.
The idea of introducing a Tip Alert Service was just a snap of a self instant creation. I have a great idea of sharing thoughts through my own market observation, brought about my years of participation in the market and it's just one of those times that sometimes you have to look back and think...hey, why not share something what have you learned? So I just experimented something and my post about Tip Alert just came in a snap, and it's not pre-planned, and that's a good feeling being a market participant for quite a while. And it's a good education too, a continuous learning, and I think and I feel it's a sign of growth and advancement especially this Market Observer is a product of SEU - Self Education University.
The idea of introducing a Tip Alert Service was just a snap of a self instant creation. I have a great idea of sharing thoughts through my own market observation, brought about my years of participation in the market and it's just one of those times that sometimes you have to look back and think...hey, why not share something what have you learned? So I just experimented something and my post about Tip Alert just came in a snap, and it's not pre-planned, and that's a good feeling being a market participant for quite a while. And it's a good education too, a continuous learning, and I think and I feel it's a sign of growth and advancement especially this Market Observer is a product of SEU - Self Education University.
Tuesday, November 19, 2013
Tip Alert: Overnight Long
Trading the Gold in the overnight (Globex) session. The chart below is on 30-minute frame. Let's see how it works in tonight session
Entry: 12745
Stop: 12719
Target: 12780 (but will monitor as the market in session)
Entry: 12745
Stop: 12719
Target: 12780 (but will monitor as the market in session)
Tip Alert Result: No loss
Tip Alert experiment did not work, no loss, flat. The Gold market stay as it is. Shown is the 15-minute chart. Nothing happens. Anyway, that's how in trading, if the market did not go the way we are trading, that's fine, just make sure, we did not lose. Let's wait the next trading day.
NOTE: Always tune in to my Tip Alert, it will always pop up here, 24/7.
NOTE: Always tune in to my Tip Alert, it will always pop up here, 24/7.
OBSERVE & TRADE: TIP ALERT SERVICE (GOLD FUTURES)
OBSERVE & TRADE: TIP ALERT SERVICE (GOLD FUTURES)
Introducing from this humble Market Observer a different kind of (very unique) Trade Alert Service that will help traders, especially the new ones - and the market instrument is exclusive only for Gold Futures market.
This is a very unique kind of service that will help Gold traders add input/idea to make/place/put a trade. Very simple, not much indicators, no level price (S/R) determination - to avoid confusion, all purely 'pattern' observation, but with adherence to strict discipline. That means, NO 'EDGE' OBSERVATION, NO ACTION (NO EDGE, NO TRADE: TO AVOID OVERTRADING, COMMISSION COSTS, AND OF COURSE, NO LOSS).
So how this going to work, very easy and simple. I will provide my own simple way of observing the Gold market the way I trade and will update/post here (right on time): right here on this blog itself, no log-in, no password, no other site to 'click', no gimmick, no signing up, no blah...blah...blah...PURELY TIP ALERT... AT NO COST... REPEAT AT NO COST... BUT... THERE IS A BIG BUT... WHAT IS THAT?
WELL, THE ONLY CONDITION IS THIS, IF THE TIP ALERT SERVICE MATERIALIZES, YOU JUST DONATE A DOLLAR ($1.00) FROM THE DONATE BUTTON RIGHT BELOW ON THIS BLOG, YES, JUST A DOLLAR! IF IT DID NOT MATERIALIZE, NO NEED TO DONATE, KEEP YOUR DOLLAR. AND IT'S UP TO YOU TO DONATE OR NOT, EVEN IF IT MATERIALIZES, I DON'T MIND, THAT'S FINE!
BUT IT DOESN'T MEAN YOU HAVE TO FOLLOW EXACTLY THE TIP ALERT AS IT IS, YOU HAVE THE DISCRETION TO DECIDE, BUT THE TIP ALERT I AM GOING TO POST IS MY REAL TRADE, IT'S UP TO TRADERS TO FOLLOW.
THIS IS JUST FOR HONEST TO GOODNESS KIND OF SHARING IDEAS AND KNOWLEDGE SERVICE!
SO LET'S TRADE ON!
Tip Alert: Possible Long For Gold
Shown is the 15-minute chart of Gold, triangle formed, possible long.
Possible Entry: 1275
Target Exit: 1281
Stop: 1272
Note: Let see if it will work (experimenting for Tip Alert trade update)
Possible Entry: 1275
Target Exit: 1281
Stop: 1272
Note: Let see if it will work (experimenting for Tip Alert trade update)
Monday, November 18, 2013
Gold Short Trade Setup
Good timing to short the market today, for it's the first day of the week, participants are not that inclined to rally the market. Nice timing if you can enter short at the 'push-up' as shown from the upper red arrow and exit (cover) at the support (lower arrow).
Saturday, November 16, 2013
Just for the info...
Though I have been involved in the market as a trader, it doesn't mean I don't believe in 'confounding interest', so just to show my investment philosophy in the long term, I am showing my small investment from this firm (as shown below), hoping I can share something.
Also, I might lessen my market participation in the coming months or so for I need to balance my involvement in the market for I sense that too much (or deep connection) participation is not that quite good on my part, so I am planning to accept a new challenge to my previous endeavor as an Electrical Engineer, I am inclined to accept an offer as a 'Quality Control Specialist' in a cable company here in Anaheim, California, it manufactures large quantity of low voltage cable that supplies globally. So it's a new challenge for me and I will give it a good shot. At least, I have some diversion from the market, I can balance myself.
Also, I might lessen my market participation in the coming months or so for I need to balance my involvement in the market for I sense that too much (or deep connection) participation is not that quite good on my part, so I am planning to accept a new challenge to my previous endeavor as an Electrical Engineer, I am inclined to accept an offer as a 'Quality Control Specialist' in a cable company here in Anaheim, California, it manufactures large quantity of low voltage cable that supplies globally. So it's a new challenge for me and I will give it a good shot. At least, I have some diversion from the market, I can balance myself.
Friday's Gold Trade Setup
Friday's market was slow, and was not that inclined to put (a trade) nor participate but the price action and some recognition of the pattern in the Gold last Friday's session 'urge' me to place a small trade and test the market. First entry was a failure and got stopped for my stop was too close/tight. Did not bother to place another trade for it seems the market was not that favorable. After some few hours of watching the market action, decided to place one more try for I am quite positive with my conviction that there is this pattern that is emerging that might turn into a good setup. The overnight session formed a deep cup (or a 'w' like), and a 'triangle' like formation (as shown) led me to place a small trade. I'm actually anticipating a cup with a handle formation here, but it fails. Maybe by Monday's session the handle will materialize, let's see.
Entry: 12863; 9:35 am.
Exit: 12892; 11:02 am.
Gain: 29 points x $10 = $290.00
Note: Able to recover the first loss of 10 points ($100)
(below is copy of real trade)
Order Book Filled
Snapshot 15 Nov 2013 9:05:15 AM
Buy/Sell Volume Fills Submit Time Time Account Market
Sell 1\1 1@12892 11:02:29.842 AM 11:02:29.855 AM traderdg1 SIM:Gold Dec13
Buy 1\1 1@12863 9:35:06.006 AM 9:35:06.105 AM traderdg1 SIM:Gold Dec13
Sell 1\1 1@12859 7:49:18.090 AM 9:25:07.217 AM traderdg1 SIM:Gold Dec13
Buy 1\1 1@12868 7:48:12.706 AM 7:48:17.430 AM traderdg1 SIM:Gold Dec13
Addendum: My decision to exit at the upper arrow was because of that 'indecision' bar, and the price action from this area at that time is not convincing from my standpoint. Other than that, the level of resistance is noticeable.
Entry: 12863; 9:35 am.
Exit: 12892; 11:02 am.
Gain: 29 points x $10 = $290.00
Note: Able to recover the first loss of 10 points ($100)
(below is copy of real trade)
Order Book Filled
Snapshot 15 Nov 2013 9:05:15 AM
Buy/Sell Volume Fills Submit Time Time Account Market
Sell 1\1 1@12892 11:02:29.842 AM 11:02:29.855 AM traderdg1 SIM:Gold Dec13
Buy 1\1 1@12863 9:35:06.006 AM 9:35:06.105 AM traderdg1 SIM:Gold Dec13
Sell 1\1 1@12859 7:49:18.090 AM 9:25:07.217 AM traderdg1 SIM:Gold Dec13
Buy 1\1 1@12868 7:48:12.706 AM 7:48:17.430 AM traderdg1 SIM:Gold Dec13
Wednesday, November 13, 2013
Overnight Trade Setup From Gold
As they said from Japanese words, making money is like digging (in) a sand with a pin ( a needle? or words to that effect), so to make money in trading you need to do something like this trade setup from Gold in the overnight session. You need to stay awake to be a Gold 'digger', in this kind of market or trading business, as an ordinary participant where your own advantage is your observation against the well capitalized/well equipped/brightest market participants, all you have to do is to snipe when they are out. Most of the time you can't beat them, but with patience like that 'words' from the 'arigatus', you can still outsmart them!
Tuesday, November 12, 2013
Short Trade Setup From Gold
Gold was indecisive from the overnight session only to drop hard late into the market closing. It formed an 'h' pattern like, as Jamie from the Wall Street Warrior always posted from his blog. I wonder what's going on with Jamie these past months, I haven't seen any new post. Anyhow, this 'classic' pattern from Gold today is one of his favorite trade setup.
Friday, November 8, 2013
Hard Landing From Gold
While all the major indices made a nice upwards move in Friday's market, the Gold suffered a hard landing to the floor (ouch...) as shown from this 15 minute chart. The market last Friday were all positive because of encouraging jobless report. But for the Gold which is my/the main instrument in tracking/finding trades suffered the most. Not able to catch this encouraging 'short' due to some pressing matters, that could have been a slam. Been missing a lot of moves lately, will just bounce the next time around.
* The reason I'm quite busy is because of my project, I am building my own customized (just for fun) target shooting made from scratch. I am building a 22 LR 1911 model that I will convert from a 1911 airsoft blowback pistol, I don't know if it will work, but I am just experimenting it just to have something to do and to practice my own learning in gunsmithing hobby. Below are some of my parts that I have already in mind/ready to acquire for my initial preparation.
Specifications:
- Velocity: 320 fps (0.2 g BB) / Range 90-100 feet
- Barrel Length: 5 inches / 12 cm
- Magazine Capacity: 17 Rounds
Features:
- Full Metal Construction
- Fixed Front & Rear Sights
- Authentic Trademarks
- Green Gas Blowback Action
- Accuracy Proven
$95.99
Item Code:
GP-PS-1911-0516
UPC Code:
29858805056
Guns Styles / Models:
1911 Airsoft Pistol
Airsoft Manufacturers:
Soft Air Cyber Gun & Palco
Manufacturer Part No: 18050516
Stock: Ships in 1 Week
Model: 1911 GBB Airsoft Gun
GSG .22LR 1911 Conversion Kit w/ 10rd Magazine GER1911CONV
Special Price: $149.99
* The reason I'm quite busy is because of my project, I am building my own customized (just for fun) target shooting made from scratch. I am building a 22 LR 1911 model that I will convert from a 1911 airsoft blowback pistol, I don't know if it will work, but I am just experimenting it just to have something to do and to practice my own learning in gunsmithing hobby. Below are some of my parts that I have already in mind/ready to acquire for my initial preparation.
Specifications:
- Velocity: 320 fps (0.2 g BB) / Range 90-100 feet
- Barrel Length: 5 inches / 12 cm
- Magazine Capacity: 17 Rounds
Features:
- Full Metal Construction
- Fixed Front & Rear Sights
- Authentic Trademarks
- Green Gas Blowback Action
- Accuracy Proven
$95.99
Item Code:
GP-PS-1911-0516
UPC Code:
29858805056
Guns Styles / Models:
1911 Airsoft Pistol
Airsoft Manufacturers:
Soft Air Cyber Gun & Palco
Manufacturer Part No: 18050516
Stock: Ships in 1 Week
Model: 1911 GBB Airsoft Gun
GSG .22LR 1911 Conversion Kit w/ 10rd Magazine GER1911CONV
Special Price: $149.99
Quick Overview
A drop in slide conversion kit from German Sports Guns. Converts your .45 1911 pistol to a .22LR 1911 pistol. Comes with slide, barrel,one ten round magazine, and instructions in a plastic storage case.
The GSG conversion kit is designed for full sized (Gold Cup/Government/Combat Commander) 1911 frames (it will not fit the Officers/Titan sized frames), and it comes with the parts kit to work on both 70- and 80-series type 1911 pistols.
The GSG conversion kit is designed for full sized (Gold Cup/Government/Combat Commander) 1911 frames (it will not fit the Officers/Titan sized frames), and it comes with the parts kit to work on both 70- and 80-series type 1911 pistols.
Wednesday, November 6, 2013
Is "STUCK" or STOCK...that's sucks...*
Stuck futures up on hopes stimulus to continue; Tesla stumbles
By Chuck Mikolajczak
NEW YORK (Reuters) - U.S. stock index futures rose on Wednesday on the possibility the Federal Reserve may keep stimulus measures in place longer than anticipated ahead of data key later this week on the labor market and economic growth.
John Williams, president of the San Francisco Federal Reserve Bank, said Tuesday the Fed should wait for stronger evidence of economic momentum before pulling back on its massive bond-buying program, but should then announce a definitive end to the stimulus.
Adding to speculation about a more dovish Fed, two of the Federal Reserve's top staff economists made the case in new research papers for more aggressive action by the U.S. central bank to drive down unemployment by promising to hold interest rates lower for longer.
Many market participants have expected the Fed to hold off on scaling back its $85 billion monthly bond purchases due to expectations that a partial government shutdown in early October has hurt the economy.
The S&P 500 (^GSPC) is up 23.6 percent for the year, putting it on track for its best yearly performance since 2003, boosted in large part by the Fed's stimulus measures.
S&P 500 futures rose 8.8 points and were above fair value, a formula that evaluates pricing by taking into account interest rates, dividends and time to expiration on the contract. Dow Jones industrial average futures gained 67 points and Nasdaq 100 futures added 12.25 points.
Tesla Motors Inc (TSLA) shares slumped 11.1 percent to $157.15 before the opening bell after the electric car maker forecast a weaker-than-expected fourth-quarter profit and posted third-quarter Model S deliveries that disappointed some analysts.
Microsoft Corp (MSFT) edged up 0.6 percent to $36.85 in premarket trading after sources familiar with the matter said the world's largest software maker had narrowed its list of external candidates to replace Chief Executive Steve Ballmer to about five people, including Ford Motor Co (NYS:F) chief Alan Mulally and former Nokia (HEX:NOK1V) CEO Stephen Elop.
As earnings season moves into its tail end, S&P companies expected to report earnings on Wednesday include Qualcomm Inc (QCOM) and Whole Foods Market Inc (WFM).
According to Thomson Reuters data, of 404 companies in the S&P 500 that reported results through Tuesday morning, 69.6 percent beat Wall Street's expectations, above the long-term average of 63 percent. However, just 53.3 percent beat revenue forecasts, below the 61 percent average since 2002.
European shares rose, erasing the previous session's losses, on better-than-expected results. (.EU)
Most Asian markets were little changed amid uncertainty over monetary policy in the United States and Europe, though Japanese stocks rose, thanks to gains in major car makers.
* Just read this column from Yahoo news...
Friday, November 1, 2013
Halloween Market
It's the first day of November, a Halloween day, no idea if the market is conducive to trade or participate today, the way I can see from the market today is quite confusing. Maybe there might be a last 'minute' trade before the close, but I think lots of noise might happen early in the market. Though the indices are on the positive trend as of this posting, the futures are in quandary. We'll see how it goes, will just do net surfing for the day and do some/search other activity/interest for some diversion, sometimes we need to take a break/stay away from the market once in a while. Though it's so hard to be away from the market when you are so 'attached' to it (seems better than having a partner?), especially if you sleep and breath with the market, in bad times and in good times, in losing and in winning, love the market is what you do.
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