'Trading is a process of observing the market's action until such a time you can find and form trading ideas and get involved.'**

Tuesday, December 24, 2013

Nine Surprising Things Jesse Livermore Said

There are those who would convince you that it is somehow smart or in your best interest to be manically switching your investments around, back and forth, long and short, on a daily basis. To pay attention to this kind of overstimulation is the height of madness, even for professional traders.

The most storied and important trader who ever lived, Jesse Livermore, would be tuning these daily buy and sell calls out were he alive and operating today. Because while he was a trader, he was not of the mindset that there was always some kind of action to be taking.

Jesse Livermore’s legacy is a bit of a double-edged sword…

On the one hand, he was the first to codify the ancient language of supply and demand that is every bit as relevant 100 years later as it was when he first relayed it to biographer Edwin Lefèvre.

Livermore himself sums it up thusly: “I learned early that there is nothing new in Wall Street. There can’t be because speculation is as old as the hills. Whatever happens in the stock market today has happened before and will happen again. I’ve never forgotten that.”

On the other hand, Livermore’s undoing came at precisely the moments in which he ignored his own advice. After repeated admonitions about tipsters, for example, Jesse allowed a tip on cotton to lead to a massive loss which grew even larger as he sat on it – violating yet another of his own cardinal rules.

And of course, other than for a few moments of temporary triumph in the trading pits and bucket shops of the era, Jesse Livermore was not a happy man. “Things haven’t gone well with me,” he informed one of his many wives by handwritten note, before putting a bullet through his own head in the cloakroom of the Sherry-Netherland Hotel.

But he did leave behind a wealth of knowledge about the art of speculation. His exploits (and cautionary tales of woe) have educated, influenced and inspired every generation of trader since Reminiscences was first published in 1923.

In my opinion, some of the most useful bits of knowledge we get from the book concern Jesse’s discussion of timeframes and patience. Many traders, particularly rookies, approach the game with the idea that they’re supposed to be constantly doing something - in and out, with a trembling finger poised to click the mouse again and again.  Consequently, they get on the treadmill of booking wins and losses without ever really moving the needle. They end up with tons of brokerage commissions and taxes to show for their efforts, but not much else.

Being a trader doesn’t mean one must always be executing a trade, just as being a house painter doesn’t mean that every surface needs an endless series of coats.

Many rookies are surprised to learn that Livermore, the idol of so
many great traders, advocated a lower maintenance, higher patience approach as he matured. In his early days, Livermore was dependent on the short-term funding and scalping activity of the bucket shops. Once he graduated and had his own capital, he was able to lengthen position holding times and could even afford to do nothing for extended periods.

Here are nine surprising things Jesse Livermore said regarding excessive trading:

1. “Money is made by sitting, not trading.”

2. “It takes time to make money.”

3. “It was never my thinking that made the big money for me, it always was sitting.”

4. “Nobody can catch all the fluctuations.”

5. “The desire for constant action irrespective of underlying conditions is responsible for many losses in Wall Street even among the professionals, who feel that they must take home some money everyday, as though they were working for regular wages.”

6. “Buy right, sit tight.”

7. “Men who can both be right and sit tight are uncommon.”

8. “Don’t give me timing, give me time.”
and finally, the most important thing:

9. “There is a time for all things, but I didn’t know it. And that is precisely what beats so many men in Wall Street who are very far from being in the main sucker class. There is the plain fool, who does the wrong thing at all times everywhere, but there is the Wall Street fool, who thinks he must trade all the time. Not many can always have adequate reasons for buying and selling stocks daily – or sufficient knowledge to make his play an intelligent play.”

Jesse was a trader but he knew the value of staying with positions and sometimes not trading at all. Once he began to follow tips from others or trade when he should have abstained, all of his progress had come undone, and with it, his sanity.

We are fortunate to be able to learn from his mistakes and to sidestep the errors that eventually cost him everything.

Sunday, December 22, 2013

2013 Trading

Much to narrate about trading for the year 2013 for this self-taught independent market observer and hard trying 'would be' trader, except that the market for this humble participant is really a shot in the air. But it's better to shoot in the air than shooting at something else, isn't it? Well, what that means, I mean participating in the market is really hard work, understanding yourself, have discipline at all times, and most of all be an 'observer'.

Be adaptable too, have your own understanding about the market, and be an independent thinker, ready to act on your own, not being influence by anybody. Though you can entertain other (lots) ideas regarding the market, but at the end of the day, when trading time, it's all yours, no one can help you in trading except yourself. Who else going to help you 'real time' to make you money? Nobody!

In (my) trading, you need to have your own idea to participate, that's what I learned and what I do believe. Make your own way of trading to say the least. For the coming 2014, we hope we can have a better way of participating in the market, and I wish all fellow traders a very fruitful trading this coming 2014...

Wednesday, December 18, 2013

Tuesday, December 17, 2013

Tip Alert: Stopped Out

Experimented to trade ES and got stopped out...


Tip Alert: ES Long

Entry: 1781
Stop: 1776
Target: 1788

Saturday, December 14, 2013

Do It For The Pure Love of the Game

by: Bill Zimmer Friday, December 13th, 2013 at 10:04 am

A speculator is a man who observes the future, and acts before it occurs. Bernard Baruch

Why do you trade? What motivates you? To most traders, the answer is obvious, isn’t it? We trade to make money. Many traders, however, say that they would trade even if they merely earned just a little. Some interviewed in “Market Wizards” by Jack Schwagger, said that they initially took any job in the financial markets just to be around the action. Money wasn’t the only motivator. Trading provides its own rewards.

One seasoned trader, for example, said he would trade even if he didn’t earn much money at it. He said, “I’d probably still do it. It’s so interesting. I think it’s a lot better than punching a clock somewhere. I find the game itself interesting. I enjoy watching how stocks react to news. It’s always amazing to me how you can see small movements snowball into large herd mentality sorts of movements. A minor piece of news starts some selling, and then all of a sudden, there’s more selling and more selling, and then there’s a huge avalanche of selling. And it all started with just a minor piece of news. But then at other times, it won’t do that. I find that very interesting.”

Another seasoned trader says, “I like the freedom trading gives you, the ability to earn a living while not having to have employees, the mental challenge, and the constantly changing environment.” There are many reasons to pursue trading, and money is usually not the only reason. Many profitable traders truly enjoy trading; they have a passion for understanding and mastering the markets.

In systematic studies, psychologists have repeatedly discovered that peak performers have a true passion for what they do. Whether it’s art, sports, or business, the folks at the top are not primarily motivated by fame, glory, respect, or status. They are driven by the pure love of the game. Winning traders, similarly, have strong interests in the markets, and this passion is the driving force that puts them at the top, year after year. But many novice traders are drawn to the markets to meet deep-seated psychological deficits and needs. They yearn for respect and status. They hope that by earning huge profits, they will be able to solve all life’s problems. Trading to satisfy these motives will most often lead to disappointment. For long-turn survival it’s very important to be motivated by more than the money.

Trading should be viewed as fun and challenging. You should do it because you love it. If you can, you’ll find you can trade more creatively, effortlessly, and profitably. What motivates your trading? Do you see it as a challenge? Is it fun? Is it enjoyable? Be motivated by the intellectual challenge. Follow your passion for trading. Do it because you love it.

Thursday, December 12, 2013

Tip Alert: Stopped Out

Long trade on Gold fails and got stopped out...it drops hard...

Wednesday, December 11, 2013

Tip Alert Update

30 minute chart of long Gold trade, still holding its breath, let's see if it can sustain...

Tip Alert Update

Trade still on...though the retracement based from my entry price is already more than 50%, I'm still keeping the entry trade...

Tip Alert Update

So far doing great, let's see...

Tip Alert: Long Gold

Entry: 1257
Stop: 1249
Target: 1269
Note: Now I've got an idea, the 1-hr chart below is forming cup with a handle from my observation, let's see if it's going to work.

Tuesday, December 10, 2013

Tip Alert: No Idea

I guess I'm passing off for now, with the 1-hr chart below, no idea what the Gold market will do from here, except that it might pause and do some zigzagging. Just make your own conclusion and trade at your own way/risk, but the way I look at, it might go the same way from where it burst from the previous (the first area), I don't know but that's my observation.


 

Tip Alert: Missed Opportunity

Not able to monitor the market early and was late to place/make a trade. Better luck next time. It could have been a nice profit...







Monday, December 9, 2013

Tip Alert 120913: Successful

Target:1236

Tip Alert 120913: Long Gold

Entry: 1230
Stop: 1224
Target: 1236
Addendum: Possible maximum target: 1238