Market's Random Thoughts

It's a weekend and was summarizing the market activities the past week or so, and considering the news and the Calendar events that was scheduled, the market still made an uptrend move. Unless you are a short term participants as compared with the long 'termers', you will experienced a nerve wracking emotional pulse because of the market's up and down swing. Well, that's how the market is, if the market doesn't move in a pulsating manner, there is no market at all, the market is like a human being.

The market is topping up, it might consolidate or will move sideways within the coming days or possibly weeks. Profiteers are readying their wide basket to catch any (abrupt) potential drop of green bucks anytime. Let's get ready to 'rumble' (or ruckus) as the famous Michael Buffer always voiced out.

Anyway, better for the short term participants to make a break in the coming days or possibly weeks. Time to reflect something outside our comfort zone once in a while and have something enjoy a quiet environment.

Been a while studying/observing the market in our humble ways and it's important to have some break once in a while and think/do something different. Get some exercise possibly, do some painting, read some motivational books or whatever that can inspire us in our lives will do good. Set some goals, have more dreams, as they said, 'if you feel that your life is closer to average than you desire, you need to do more dreaming'.

From Malcom Gladwell's book Outliers, to master a craft in any field, one needs around 10,000 hours of practice in order to become used to it or become successful. That's a lot of hard work, and that's what we've been trying to practice in the market, we need continuous learning in the market. When dealing with the market, one need to be adaptable, because the market is an ever changing environment.

But we need to be balanced, not only in our life but in any of our endeavor. Also we need to continue in our learning and to continue to prepare, because when there is a chance or opportunity, we are ready to grab it. That we can apply in the market, we need to be always ready and timing is important in the market.

Vertical Leap From Gold

Quite messy in the market today especially in the regular session and also a choppy move in the Globex market earlier. Likewise the indices (S&P, Nasdaq, and the Dow), the Crude is on the profit taking mode (partly because it's Friday, most participants will enjoy their loot in the bar?), while the Gold partly recovered when it made a very heavy leap as shown below. Gold made a Darvas 'box' consolidation below the support (S3, from real platform) until it burst like a rocket powered by a high octane fuel. Have a nice weekend fellow traders, enjoy your $!

Market Update

Market indices continues to move upside for the FOMC (per reports yesterday) continues to purchase notes to augment the economy. The Crude bounced back from yesterday's positive employment report coupled with the jobless claims in today's favorable result. The Gold is still struggling, it continues to move sideways. Trading today is quite tricky for most of the big moves happened in the overnight session, if you are not quite fast enough to trade in the regular session, all you can have is the dust in your face for you are late in riding the bus, just wait for the next bus to arrive.

 

 

Crude Trade Setup

Showing here a 1-minute chart from the Crude where this market observer able to spot the triangle pattern for a precise trade execution. Spotting this kind of pattern one need to be focused and price action should be observed keenly for the market make its move in a fast pace environment.

Bonus Stock Tip - YRCW

Introducing my free Stock Tip as a gesture for some investors/traders who follow this humble market observer (if there are). I am inclined to recommend this trucking firm as a buy between $28 to $30 with stop at $24. It might reach a sell at $40. But know your risk tolerance and study carefully the company before investing/trading. But from the technical view of this observer, there is a potential to the upside, but that's not a guarantee. Trade/invest at your own risk. 

 

Crude is 'leaking'?

Seems the Crude is on the way to the drain from this daily chart. It is forming a head and shoulder pattern with its left (?) shoulder already lowering, a sign that a bearish sentiment is in the offing. That's what the interpretation of this 'self-proclaimed' technical observer. Well, as everybody in the market (and other pundits) has its own interpretation in the market, and we all ended up on the wrong side of the market. But that's how in the market, we can make our own opinion since nobody knows what the market will do next. The market is an exercise of human behavior, and all human make drastic action at any given moment. But I guess the Crude market right now is on the way down or it might turn sideways. The sentiment this  week in the market is of 'indecision' because of the weekly calendar events. Participants are gauging each others throat what the next move might/will be. But according the Art Cashin, CNBC contributor, we're going to expect some fireworks this week. Let's see what that fireworks would be. Also, Prince Khalid Al Waleed of Saudi Arabia caution the OPEC last week that Crude oil is not much going to be in-demand in the US for sometime because of the continuous exploration of  domestic 'fracking'.

A Climatic 'V' Position

A very powerful reversal happened this Friday's market, especially for the Dow and the S&P as shown from this 15-minute chart. Notice the  hard drop (catching the falling knife) that originates from the Globex (overnight session) till the first hour or so from the open. A powerful 'v' (position???) formation emerge that turn the tide to the bull side. Catching this kind of trade is the best opportunity even in the middle portion of the trade. You don't need to catch or buy the low (deep) and sell at the top, just trade the middle portion is the best trade to make a gain, as the famous Bernard Baruch profess, 'I made my money selling early'. Just ride the 4ema (the blue line) and you will not go anywhere except to the bank!