'Trading is a process of observing the market's action until such a time you can find and form trading ideas and get involved.'**

Wednesday, November 7, 2012

The Markets After Effect Election

The market reacted sharply from the recent electoral conclusion.

Seems the market did not agree with the election result and the sell off triggered.

All the market indices were all on the selling spree as soon as the market opens and continues till the closed.

I will not be surprised if the market will all break lose come tomorrow's market.

The following charts shows how the market reacted with the recent election.

 
 
 
 
And the Apple (AAPL) stock is losing its eye from the investor.

Is this the end of cliff for Apple?

Your guess is as good as mine!



Tuesday, November 6, 2012

Presidential Election Trade Setup

The market was on the uncertain moves early in the open probably because of the presidential election.

I guess the market participants are gauging the trend of the voters who is going to get the majority votes because of the closed contest.

And this chart shows that by the time (around 11:30 am. E.T.) the market rallied, seems the participants had the idea who's going to win.

Let's just wait and see by night time!

For the trade today, I call it the Presidential Election Trade Setup.

Buying at the settlement price when the MA's shows confirmation (arrow) for a long trade.

Exit the trade within the R2 level is the  best trade for today considering the market is looking for a certain direction.

No need to wait for the whole market session for it might turn volatile at the latter part because of the election.

Trade safely!

Sunday, November 4, 2012

The most indebted man in the world owes former employer $6.3 billion



Former financial arbitrage trader Jerome Kerviel is the most indebted man on the planet, owing his former employer $6.3 billion.

The amount Kerviel owes to French bank Societe Generale for fraudulent trades made in 2007 and 2008 would make Kerviel one of the 50 richest people in America if those debts were assets.
 
But Kerviel cannot even begin paying off his debts until 2015, when he is scheduled to be released from prison. Kerviel recently lost an appeal case in which he argued the corruption at Societe Generale was widespread.

The Atlantic's Matthew O'Brien writes that Kerviel managed €50 billion ($73 billion in unadjusted dollars) worth of unauthorized trades during his tenure at Societe Generale, using a sophisticated scheme of computer hacking and deceptive trades to deceive the bank.
O'Brien writes:
"In plain English, arbitrage just means taking advantage of discrepancies when things should have the same price, but don't. The idea is to buy the cheaper one, sell the more expensive one, and then wait for them to converge. The beauty is it doesn't matter whether markets go up or down--you're both long and short--just that the prices actually converge."
O'Brien spoke with former investment banker and current University of San Diego law professor Frank Partnoy about the logistics of trying to collect $6.3 billion from a single individual.

"Well, he's obviously not going to be able to pay the fine," Partnoy told the Atlantic. "What happened to Kerviel is the financial equivalent of sentencing someone to life plus 100 years. They'll likely reach some kind of agreement where a significant percentage of any money he makes for the rest of his life will be paid into a fund to cover the fine. He'll be like Sisyphus pushing the boulder up the hill every day for the rest of his life."

And while you could debate whether there are better ways for Kerviel to pay back Societe Generale, Partnoy offers a stark comparison to the fines levied against some of the world's largest financial institutions. In 2010, Goldman Sachs agreed to a $550 million settlement with Securities Exchange Commission, paid in part to investors and the U.S. government, which the SEC described as the largest settlement in history against any Wall Street firm.

Facebook's Sandberg sells $7.4 million in stock



Visa Is The Passport To Good Investing

Showing the weekly and monthly chart of the Visa (V) stock since its IPO in the mid of 2009.

It formed a cup with a handle between 2009 and 2010 (the monthly chart).

Since then it continues to go higher.

This is the classic form of good investing, the buy and hold as Warren Buffet, Peter Lynch profess?

'A buy what you know investing', considering Visa is a household name before it bacame a public company.

If you buy 100 shares then say $60.00 per share ($6,000.00) , your investment now at $143.00 is netting +$8,300.00 ($14,300.00).

That's more than 50% gain, and the stock will continue to go higher the way it is performing.





 

Saturday, November 3, 2012

Friday's Trade Setup

After Thursday's jumper trade, the market somersaulted last Friday's trading day.

After the euphoria, the market turn ugly and made a turnaround.

Probably because of Friday, a profit taking days for the traders.

Likewise of the Apple stock (AAPL), it went on a selling spree the past days and that affected the whole market.

It's like where the Apple goes, so the market too.

For last Friday's trade setup, the best entry is to short the market where it starts the signal below the settlement price as shown from the arrow below.

The moving averages gave the confirmation when its starts to crosses over and descends below the previous close.

Exit the trade before the market close.



Friday, November 2, 2012

Thursday's Jumper Trade

The market 'jumped' early in the market open last Thursday's market.

It continues to move upwards till the close.

I guess all the participants were eager to buy the market because of 'after effect' from Sandy (hurricane) that batters the east coast especially in New York where the market seats.

The best entry is to buy the market in the open and exit before the close for a no-brainer trade?

This trade setup is a predictable 'kinda' move considering the market was closed the past two days due to the storm and the market was initially opened last Wednesday.

Most participants were still out then (last Wednesday) that's why the market move erratically on that day.

Come Thursday, all participants were all pumped up to buy the market that's why it surge in the open.

The market is a study of human behavior, and it's important to monitor the market sentiments.

Read the minds of the market is all that matters!